Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.161406 0.184075 0.209316 0.239597 0.275063 0.315431 0.365067
2025-12-14 0.125082 0.154892 0.191418 0.239883 0.303117 0.383673 0.495434
2025-12-21 0.103584 0.136031 0.178636 0.239536 0.325774 0.445695 0.628975
2025-12-28 0.091010 0.125273 0.172845 0.245146 0.354806 0.519187 0.792702
2026-01-04 0.081089 0.116052 0.166916 0.248346 0.379385 0.589197 0.965967
2026-01-11 0.073393 0.108653 0.162085 0.251661 0.403691 0.662213 1.160641
2026-01-18 0.067848 0.103587 0.159805 0.258167 0.433665 0.749722 1.402619
2026-01-25 0.062161 0.097481 0.154883 0.259182 0.453780 0.822952 1.635732
2026-02-01 0.057135 0.091791 0.149810 0.258939 0.471160 0.893911 1.882963
2026-02-08 0.052439 0.086094 0.143962 0.256285 0.483182 0.956145 2.127991
2026-02-15 0.048264 0.080829 0.138215 0.252900 0.492961 1.015319 2.382852
2026-02-22 0.045891 0.078479 0.137415 0.258917 0.523176 1.125679 2.802016
2026-03-01 0.042372 0.073764 0.131813 0.254736 0.531143 1.187780 3.116805
2026-03-08 0.039859 0.070678 0.128996 0.255993 0.551756 1.285790 3.572635
2026-03-15 0.037445 0.067540 0.125721 0.255790 0.568921 1.379231 4.051741
2026-03-22 0.035909 0.065943 0.125336 0.261875 0.602500 1.524873 4.764269
2026-03-29 0.034251 0.063942 0.123895 0.265334 0.630127 1.661228 5.507767
2026-04-05 0.032745 0.062104 0.122590 0.268914 0.658802 1.808563 6.365829
2026-04-12 0.031642 0.060990 0.122709 0.275940 0.698308 2.000684 7.508707
2026-04-19 0.030156 0.058940 0.120561 0.277036 0.721363 2.146716 8.537351
2026-04-26 0.028689 0.056806 0.118013 0.276774 0.740493 2.285510 9.617588
2026-05-03 0.027158 0.054410 0.114636 0.273907 0.751312 2.398702 10.644856
2026-05-10 0.025696 0.052051 0.111130 0.270252 0.759102 2.503741 11.701799